Another divisional rivalry game awaits us in the MLB on Sunday, September 4, and this one is very important for the hosts, so don’t miss out on the best Nationals vs. Mets betting pick and odds.
Washington and New York will play the final of a three-game series at Citi Field, and the Mets are massive -310 moneyline favorites on FanDuel NY Sportsbook, while the total is set at 8 runs. These National League East foes have met 15 times this season, before this series, and the Mets lead 11-4.
Nationals upset the Mets with an excellent offensive showing
The Washington Nationals upset the odds and New York Mets on the road in one of their best offensive displays of the season. They recorded 14 hits opposite New York’s four and deservedly shocked the favored hosts to improve to a 46-87 record, which is still the worst record in the entire MLB.
CJ Abrams and Lane Thomas contributed with two RBIs apiece, while Luis Garcia had a four-hit game as the Nationals tormented the Mets’ pitching staff. Patrick Corbin (6-17) got an unlikely win after pitching for seven strong innings, allowing only a run on three hits with five strikeouts and a walk.
Erick Fedde (5-9) will start on the mound when the Nats take on the Mets on Sunday. The 29-year-old righty will enter this game with a 5.29 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, and 80/49 K/BB ratio over 100.1 innings of work.
Mets succumbed to a disappointing defeat against the Nationals
The New York Mets can’t be happy with their offensive showing in a 7-1 loss to the Washington Nationals at home, especially because this defeat came to the weakest team in the league and divisional rival. Nothing worked on offense for the Mets, who now dropped to an 85-49 record, and are two wins above the Atlanta Braves at the top of the NL East.
Max Scherzer felt something during his outing and decided not to return in the 6th inning. Across five frames he pitched, Scherzer surrendered a run on three hits with five strikeouts and a walk but wasn’t able to register a quality start. Adam Ottavino (5-3) took a loss, while Starling Marte was the only batter with a multi-hit game.
Carlos Carrasco (13-5) is getting his 24th start of the year when he faces the Nationals on Sunday. The 35-year-old right-hander owns a 3.92 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, and 124/33 K/BB ratio across 126.1 innings.
Trends:
Washington:
5-11 in the last 16 road games3-7 in the last ten when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game
New York:
21-5 in the last 26 during game 3 of a series37-16 in the last 53 vs. National League East rivals
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Pick
After a surprising loss on Saturday, I fully expect the Mets to respond and secure an easy victory on Sunday. Erick Fedde was horrible in his two starts against the Mets this year, posting an 11.37 ERA in just 6.1 innings of work. On the other hand, Carlos Carrasco was phenomenal in his three starts against Washington (2-0) with a 1.56 ERA over 17.1 innings, and I am backing him to have another strong showing on Sunday. The Mets are 4-0 in Carrasco’s last four starts during game 3 of a series, while the Nationals are 0-5 in Fedde’s previous five starts vs. National League East opponents.
Pick: Take the Mets at -2.5 Run Line (-110)
The Total
After a fantastic July, when he posted a microscopic 0.90 ERA in five starts, Carrasco’s numbers went down in August, so considering his current form, I expect him to surrender two or three runs in this one. Fedde is allowing a .305 BA to the Mets’ batters in his career, but interestingly, he allowed just two homers in 105 at-bats. Still, I am backing the Mets to torment him on Sunday and score multiple runs early on. Over is 4-0 in Fedde’s last four starts vs. National League East opponents, while Over is 5-0-2 in Carrasco’s previous seven starts when their opponent allows two runs or less in their previous game.
Pick: Go Over 8 runs (-110)
