New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins Odds, Pick, Prediction 1/8/23

New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins

The regular season in the NFL will conclude with Week 18 games, and this divisional rivalry tilt on Sunday, January 8 is one of them, so make sure you don’t miss out on the best Jets vs. Dolphins betting pick and odds.

Both New York and Miami are desperate to avoid their sixth consecutive defeat when they meet at Hard Rock Stadium. The Dolphins are slight 1-point favorites on BetRivers NY Sportsbook, while the total is set at 38.5 points. These divisional rivals faced once this season, and the Jets destroyed the Dolphins 40-17 in New York.

Jets are eliminated from the playoff picture

The New York Jets (7-9-0, 8-8-0 ATS) played very well in the first half of the season and had a 6-3 record before a bye week, but then suffered six losses in seven games. The Jets are on a five-game losing skid, and following the latest 23-6 loss to the Seattle Seahawks on the road, they are eliminated from the playoff picture. New York was inferior since the opening quarter and Seattle deservedly secured a W as the hosts forced three turnovers and committed none on the other end. For the second straight game, the Jets failed to score a touchdown.

Mike White completed 23 of 46 passes for 240 yards and two interceptions. Tyler Conklin posted a game-high 80 yards on six receptions, while Corey Davis caught three passes for 45 yards. Ty Johnson and Zonovan Knight combined for 73 rushing yards on 16 carries. On defense, Quincy Williams was solid with a game-high ten tackles.

DE Vinny Curry (illness), RB Breece Hall (knee), and G Alijah Vera-Tucker (triceps) are out indefinitely. WR Jeff Smith (knee) and CB Brandin Echols (quad) are questionable to feature on Sunday against Miami.

Dolphins fell short of the Patriots on the road

The Miami Dolphins (8-8-0, 8-8-0 ATS) are on a five-game losing run, but four of those five defeats were one-score games. The most recent against the New England Patriots on the road was one of them as the Dolphins fell short 23-21 and kept the Pats alive in the playoff race. Miami now needs a win against the Jets and Patriots to lose in Buffalo to secure a wildcard spot. The Dolphins had a 14-10 lead late in the third quarter when Teddy Bridgewater threw for a costly pick-six that changed the course of the game. Miami was better in total yards (333-249) and first downs (21-14), but committed a couple of turnovers and failed to force one on the other end.

Teddy Bridgewater completed 12 of 19 passes for 161 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Skylar Thompson completed 12 of 21 passes for 104 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Raheem Mostert led all the receivers with 62 yards and a TD on eight catches. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle combined for 107 yards on seven receptions, while Mike Gesicki scored a receiving touchdown. Tyreek Hill contributed with a rushing TD, while Jeff Wilson Jr. had a game-high 45 yards on 15 rushing attempts. Defensively, Elandon Roberts chipped in a game-high ten tackles.

QB Tua Tagovailoa (concussion), DE Trey Flowers (foot), and DE Emmanuel Ogbah (triceps) are out indefinitely. T Terron Armstead (knee), QB Teddy Bridgewater (finger), CB Xavien Howard (knee), and LB Bradley Chubb (hand) are questionable to play against the Jets on Sunday.


New York:

9-21 ATS in the last 30 vs. AFC East rivals

1-4 ATS in the last five games overall


18-8 ATS in the last 26 home games

5-1 ATS in the last six vs. AFC East opponents

New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins Pick

The Dolphins are better in a tiebreaker against the Pittsburgh Steelers, so if they beat the Jets on Sunday, they will only need the New England Patriots to lose against the Bills in Buffalo, which is likely to happen. Although the Dolphins have a weak defense that allows 24.6 points per game, they shouldn’t have problems against one of the least potent offenses in the NFL that averages 18.1 ppg. Miami is averaging the third-best 273.2 passing yards per contest, and even though the Jets’ pass defense is the second-best in the league and will definitely test the hosts, I am backing the Dolphins to prevail and secure a wildcard place.

Pick: Take the Dolphins at -0.5 (-110)

The Total

New York allows just 192.5 yards per game to the opposing receivers, so Hill and Waddle could encounter some problems, especially if Teddy B is out with a finger injury. The Jets are awful on offense lately; they scored just nine points in the last two games and failed to score more than 17 in each of the previous four. Under is 4-0 in the Jets’ last four games overall; Under is 5-1 in New York’s previous six road games, while Under is 6-1 in the Dolphins’ last seven home games.

Pick: Go Under 40.5 points (-133)

Author: Nathan Rogers