New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Odds, Pick, Prediction 12/11/22

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills

The NFL continues with Week 14 and we have this divisional rivalry matchup in Buffalo on Sunday, December 11, so make sure you get the best Jets vs. Bills betting pick and odds.

Buffalo is searching for the fourth straight victory when they welcome New York at Highmark Stadium. The Bills are 9-point favorites on DraftKings NY, while the total is set at 44 points. These AFC East foes have met this season, and the Jets won 20-17 in New York.

Jets couldn’t make a comeback in Minneapolis

The New York Jets (7-5-0, 7-5-0 ATS) suffered the second loss in three games as they fell short against the Minnesota Vikings on the road. Despite dominating total yards (486-287), the Jets lost 27-22 after trailing 20-3 at some point. New York won the second half 16-7, but that wasn’t enough to beat the Vikings, who now improved to a 9-0 record in one-score games.

Mike White completed 31 of 57 passes for 369 yards and two interceptions. He did add a rushing touchdown. Rookie wideout Garrett Wilson had the game of his young career as he posted 162 yards on eight receptions (15 targets). Corey Davis contributed with 85 receiving yards on five catches, while on the ground, Zonovan Knight had a game-high 90 yards on 15 carries. On defense, Jordan Whitehead led the Jets with 11 tackles.

RB Breece Hall (knee) is out for the season, while RB Michael Carter sat out the last game with an ankle sprain, and it is unknown if he will return against the Bills in Week 14.

Bills beat the Patriots on the road

The Buffalo Bills (9-3-0, 6-5-1 6-5-1 ATS) responded to a pair of tight defeats against the Jets and Vikings with three wins in a row against Cleveland, Detroit, and New England. While the first two were one-score victories, the Bills beat the Patriots 24-10 on the road. It was a fully deserved W for Buffalo, who had more total yards (355-242), first downs (22-14), and possession (38:08-21:52).

Josh Allen completed 22 of 33 passes for 223 yards and two touchdowns. Stefon Diggs caught one of those two TD passes and posted a game-high 92 yards on seven receptions (nine targets). Gabe Davis also scored a receiving touchdown, while Devin Singletary had a rushing touchdown and 51 yards on 13 attempts. James Cook led the Bills in rushing yards with 64 on 14 carries. Defensively, Tremaine Edmunds led the team with six tackles.

LB Von Miller (knee), S Micah Hyde (neck), WR Jamison Crowder (ankle), and T Tommy Doyle (ACL) are out indefinitely. T Dion Dawkins (ankle) is questionable to face the Jets on Sunday.


New York:

8-21 ATS in the last 29 vs. AFC East rivals


6-2-1 ATS in the last nine home games

8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 vs. AFC East opponents

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills Pick

Buffalo has a top 5 offense and top 5 defense and has a better team than the Jets in almost every segment. The Bills are scoring 27.8 points per game, opposite New York’s 21.0 ppg, while Buffalo is allowing 17.4 ppg. Buffalo scored 24+ points in seven of its last eight games, and although the Jets’ defense is the sixth-best in the NFL as it allows 18.6 ppg, I am backing the Bills to score 24+ and outscore the visitors, who scored more than 22 points only once in their previous six games. Mike White already recorded 684 passing yards in his two starts for the Jets, but I am backing the Bills, who allow 218.3 pass yards per game, to control White in this one.

Betting Pick: Take the Bills at -7.5 (-120)

The Total

The Bills have the third-best pass offense in the league that is averaging 274.5 yards per contest. However, Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs will not have an easy game against the Jets, who are limiting the opposing receivers to 194.3 yards per game. After struggling defensively in recent weeks, the Bills impressed against New England, and I expect another strong defensive showing against another divisional rival. Under is 5-2 in the last seven H2H meetings; Under is 5-2 in the Jets’ previous seven games overall, while Under is 8-2 in the Bills’ last ten games overall.

Pick: Go Under 46.5 points (-133)

Author: Nathan Rogers