Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Odds, Pick, Prediction 9/28/22

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets

The MLB show continues on Wednesday, September 28 with all 30 teams in action, and this divisional duel is one of the most intriguing, so make sure you get the best Marlins vs. Mets betting pick and odds.

Miami and New York will play second first of a two-game series at Citi Field, and the Mets are -190 moneyline favorites on Caesars NY Sportsbook, while the total is set at 7 runs. These NL East rivals have met 17 times this year, before this series, and the Mets lead 12-5. Game 1 of the series will be played on Tuesday night.

Marlins beat the Nationals in a three-game series

The Miami Marlins lost the previous series to the divisional foes Washington Nationals some ten days ago but got their revenge with two wins out of three games in a home series. The Marlins recorded a couple of wins to open the series, but the Nats were better in Game 3 with a 6-1 victory.

Lewin Diaz’s scored Miami’s only run of the game in the 8th inning and it was a home run, but the Marlins didn’t deserve to get a win after having six hits opposite the Nationals’ 13. Bryan de la Cruz was the only Miami player with a multi-hit display, while Edward Cabrera (6-4) took a loss after allowing three runs on six hits with three strikeouts and no walks over 3.2 innings.

Jesus Luzardo (3-7) will get on the bump for the 17th time this year when he faces the Mets on Wednesday. The 24-year-old left-hander owns a 3.57 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, and 102/32 K/BB ratio in 88.1 innings.

Mets returned from a road trip with four wins in the pocket

The New York Mets are back home from a six-game road trip during which they took on the Milwaukee Brewers and Oakland Athletics, winning four of them in the process. The Mets destroyed the Athletics 13-4 in the concluding game of the series, which was their highest-scoring performance of the campaign. The Mets keep the leading spot in the NL East with a win more than the Atlanta Braves, and this battle is going to be tense for the remainder of the regular season.

Pete Alonso stole the show as he set the Mets’ record of five RBIs with a homer and two doubles on four hits. Francisco Lindor and Eduardo Escobar contributed with five RBIs combined as the Mets dismantled Oakland. Max Scherzer now jumped to an 11-4 record after surrendering just a run on four hits with seven strikeouts and a walk over 6.0 innings of work.

Taijuan Walker (12-5) will start for the 28th time this year when he meets the Marlins on Wednesday. The 30-year-old right-hander has a 3.53 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, and 114/43 K/BB ratio across 148.0 innings.



2-8 in their last ten road games7-24 in the last 31 vs. National League East opponents

New York:

8-2 in the last ten overall5-1 in the last six games with the total set at 7.0-8.5

Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Pick

Jesus Luzardo registered three quality starts of four in September, but the only start in which he was tormented was against the Mets. He allowed five runs on six hits in that game and lasted just 3.1 innings as New York got to a 9-3 victory.

 It was Luzardo’s lone start against the Mets this year in which he had a 13.50 ERA. On the contrary, Taijuan Walker was excellent in his five starts (4-0) against Miami this season with a 2.23 across 32.1 innings of work. New York likes playing against Miami this year and it was evident in recent H2H duels, so I am backing the hosts to get another comfortable victory on Wednesday.

Pick: Take the Mets at -1.5 Run Line (+115)

The Total

Although Walker has been dominant against Miami this season, I have doubts that Luzardo is going to keep the Mets in check on Wednesday. New York must win as many games as possible for the remainder of the season as the Braves are right behind, and I am sure the Mets will be very active offensively in this one. 

Over is 4-0 in the last four H2H meetings; Over is 6-1 in the Mets’ previous seven overall, Over is 6-1 in New York’s last seven vs. National League East rivals, while Over is 8-0 in the Mets’ previous eight games vs. a left-handed starter.

Pick: Go Over 7 runs (-110)

Author: Nathan Rogers