Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New York Jets Odds, Pick, Prediction 12/22/22

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New York Jets

Week 16 of the NFL will start with this conference clash in New York on Thursday, December 22, so make sure you don’t miss out on the best Jaguars vs. Jets betting pick and odds.

New York is desperate to avoid the fourth straight defeat when they welcome Jacksonville at MetLife Stadium. The Jets are slight 1-point favorites on BetMGM NY while the total is set at 38.5 points. These AFC rivals have met once last year, and the Jest won 26-21 in New York.

Jaguars shocked the Cowboys after coming from behind

The Jacksonville Jaguars (6-8-0, 6-7-1 ATS) made back-to-back upsets and suddenly improved their chances to make it to the playoffs. After defeating the divisional foes Tennessee Titans on the road, the Jaguars beat the Dallas Cowboys at home. 

Despite losing 27-10 late in the first half, Jacksonville managed to come from behind and force overtime thanks to Riley Patterson’s 48-yard field goal as time expired. Then, Rayshawn Jenkins’ 52-yard pick-six sealed a 40-34 victory for the hosts, who scored a season-high 40 points along the way. The Jags deserved the win as they totaled 503 yards opposite Dallas’ 397.

Trevor Lawrence completed 27 of 42 passes for 318 yards, career-high four touchdowns, and one interception. Zay Jones also had a career night as he was on the receiving end of three of Lawrence’s passing touchdowns. He finished the game with a team-high 109 yards on six catches. 

Christian Kirk and Evan Engram combined for 154 yards on 14 receptions, while Marvin Jones scored a TD. Travis Etienne Jr. was excellent on the ground with a game-high 103 yards on 19 carries. Defensively, Rayshawn Jenkins had two interceptions, one of which decided the tilt in OT, while Jenkins and Foyesade Oluokun combined for 32 tackles!

CB Shaquill Griffin (back), WR Calvin Ridley (suspension), and LB K’Lavon Chaisson (knee) are out indefinitely. QB Trevor Lawrence (toe) and DE Travon Walker (ankle) are questionable to face the Jets on Thursday.

Jets fell short of the Lions at home

The New York Jets (7-7-0, 8-6-0 ATS) returned home from a two-game road trip on which they lost to the Minnesota Vikings and Buffalo Bills. The Jets were close to beating the Detroit Lions as they had a 17-13 lead entering after a two-minute warning, but the visitors scored a touchdown late to book a 20-17 win and upset the Jets. The teams were pretty tied in every key segment except turnovers; New York committed one opposite Detroit’s zero.

Zach Wilson completed 18 of 35 passes for 317 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. C.J. Uzomah caught both of those TD passes and ended with 41 yards on two receptions. Garrett Wilson led all the receivers with 98 yards on four catches, while Jeff Smith contributed 77 yards on four receptions. The Jets were powerless on the ground as they collected 50 rushing yards on 22 attempts. On defense, Will Parks had a game-high nine tackles.

RB Breece Hall (knee) and G Alijah Vera-Tucker (triceps) are out for the season. QB Mike White is doubtful with a ribs injury, while WR Corey Davis (head), DT Quinnen Williams (calf), and WR Denzel Mims (concussion) are questionable to feature on Thursday against the Jaguars.



3-7-1 ATS in the last 11 games following an ATS win

2-8-1 ATS in the last 11 road games

6-20-2 ATS in the last 28 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game

New York:

6-0 ATS in the last six games following an ATS loss

5-2 ATS in the last seven vs. AFC rivals

9-4 ATS in the last 13 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New York Jets Pick

Jacksonville is perhaps in better form right now, but the Jets didn’t play well in their three losses, they just weren’t lucky enough, and I think that’s going to change on Thursday. I am going with a stronger defense in this game; the Jets have the fourth-best D in the NFL that is allowing 18.8 points per game, while the Jaguars’ defense allows 23.4 ppg. 

New York’s secondary is particularly good as it surrenders 193.9 yards to the opposing receivers, so in-form Trevor Lawrence (if plays) will have a tough job doing damage through the air.

Pick: Take the Jets at -0.5 (-110)

The Total

New York’s offense is struggling recently; they scored just 41 points in the last three games and the Jets are not even in the top 20 when it comes to offense, with 20.1 points per game. The Jags did allow 22+ points in each of their previous four games, but given the matchup, I don’t think we will have a high-scoring affair here. 

Under is 8-1 in the Jaguars’ last nine games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game; Under is 7-2 in the Jets’ previous nine games overall, while Under is 5-2 in New York’s last seven home games.

Pick: Go Under 40.5 points (-130)

Author: Nathan Rogers