Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Odds, Pick, Prediction 9/14/22

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets

The MLB action continues on Wednesday, September 14, and it’s a must-win game for the hosts who are trying to keep the top spot in the NL East, so check out the best Cubs vs. Mets betting pick and odds.

Chicago and New York will play the third of a three-game series at Citi Field and the Mets are N/A moneyline favorites on WynnBet NY Sportsbook, while the total is set at N/A runs. These National League rivals have faced four times this season before this series, and the Mets lead 3-1. However, Chicago won Game 1 of this series, while Game 2 will be played on Tuesday night.

Cubs surprised the Mets in Game 1

The Chicago Cubs entered Game 1 of the series against the New York Mets on the road as massive underdogs. Still, they controlled the tilt since the second inning and troubled Chris Bassitt to get a deserved 5-2 victory in the end.

Rafael Ortega and Zach McKinstry hit a home run apiece and contributed with two RBIs each as the Cubs scored all of their runs between the 2nd and 5th inning. Javier Assad (1-1) recorded his first win in the majors after allowing only a run on five hits with six strikeouts and three walks over 6.0 innings. Brandon Hughes earned his 5th save of the campaign.

Drew Smyly (6-8) will start for the 21st time this year when he faces the Mets on Wednesday. The 33-year-old left-hander has a respectable 3.57 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, and 84/25 K/BB ratio in 98.1 innings.

Mets disappointed in Game 1 against the Cubs

The New York Mets lost the opening game of the series to the Chicago Cubs, and they simply cannot afford to lose these sorts of games. Luckily for them, the Atlanta Braves are on a three-game losing skid, otherwise, the Mets would be taken off the NL East top. They still have two wins more than Atlanta, but the Braves have a game in their hands.

Chris Bassitt (13-8) struggled in his start as he surrendered five runs on five hits with two strikeouts and two walks over 3.2 innings. The Mets registered more hits (8-7), but that didn’t help them to avoid a defeat. Francisco Lindor homered in the 9th, but it was too late for a comeback.

Trevor Williams is getting his 10th start of the year in place of injured Max Scherzer. The 30-year-old right-hander owns a 3.00 ERA, 1.321 WHIP, and 66/21 K/BB ratio across 75.0 innings of work.

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets Pick

Well, following Chicago’s win in the opener, I expect the Mets to respond and conclude the series with a win, even though they will not have an ace as starter this time around. Although predominately a reliever, Williams fared well in his latest starts. 

He allowed just two runs in the last three starts (12.0 innings) and I am backing him to have another strong outing. The Mets are not great against southpaws this season, but they must start aggressively against Smyly and make him feel uncomfortable early on. I have faith in the Mets. Smyly doesn’t have good numbers against the Mets’ batters in his career (.330 BA).

Pick: Take the Mets at -1.5 Run Line (N/A)

The Total

Smyly enjoyed a fantastic August during which he registered a microscopic 0.90 ERA, and following a disastrous start against St. Louis, Drew bounced back with a win against San Francisco. He is a fine pitcher who doesn’t allow many runs, and even though I am backing the Mets to win here and cause him trouble, Smyly will not be dismantled. Chicago’s offense did score five quick runs in Game 1, but I doubt they will score more than two here. That’s why I expect to see a low-scoring affair.  

Pick: Go Under N/A runs

Author: Nathan Rogers