Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens Odds, Pick, Prediction 10/2/22

Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens

One of the most intriguing NFL games in Week 4 will be played between conference rivals and Super Bowl contenders on Sunday, October 2, and here you can read the best Bills vs. Ravens betting pick and odds.

Both Buffalo and Baltimore are entering Week 4 with a 2-1 record when they face at M&T Bank Stadium on Sunday. The Bills are 3-point favorites on WynnBet Sportsbook, while the total is set at 51 points. These AFC rivals have previously met in January 2021 when the Bills won 17-3 in a playoff game in Buffalo.

Bills lost in Miami for the first defeat of the season

The Buffalo Bills started the new NFL season with force and two easy wins over the Los Angeles Rams and Tennessee Titans. However, they failed to maintain a perfect record as they fell short of the Miami Dolphins on the road. Even though Buffalo dominated the game by all parameters such as total yards (497-212), first downs (31-15), and possession (40:40-19:20), the Bills left empty-handed in a 21-19 loss.

Josh Allen completed 42 of 63 passes for 400 yards and two touchdowns, his best game of the season in terms of yardage. He also led the team in rushing with 47 yards on eight carries. Devin Singletary and Isaiah McKenzie caught Allen’s passes for touchdowns and combined for 154 yards on 16 receptions (20 targets). On defense, Taron Johnson with six, and Jaquan Johnson and Tremaine Edmunds with five tackles apiece, led Buffalo in this loss.

S Micah Hyde (neck) and CB Dane Jackson (neck) are out indefinitely. S Jordan Poyer (foot), DT Ed Oliver (ankle), T Ryan Bates (concussion), and C Mitch Morse (elbow) are questionable to play against Baltimore on Sunday.

Ravens beat the Patriots on the road

The Baltimore Ravens bounced back from a painful home loss to the Miami Dolphins in Week 2 and defeated the New England Patriots 37-26 on the road. Nobody expected such a high-scoring affair, but the teams produced eight touchdowns and six turnovers. Baltimore forced four of those TOs, while Lamar Jackson was impressive once again.

Jackson completed 18 of 29 passes for 218 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception. He also led all the runners with 107 yards and a TD on 11 carries. Mark Andrews was Jackson’s favorite target in this one and caught eight passes on 13 targets for 89 yards and two touchdowns. The rest of the receivers had just 14 targets in total. Josh Bynes led the Ravens’ defense with ten total tackles, while the team recorded three interceptions.

DE Justin Houston was forced out of the last game with a groin injury, and it is undetermined if he will be active for Sunday’s matchup against the Bills. T Michael Pierce is out indefinitely with a biceps injury.

Betting Trends:


2-5 ATS in the last seven vs. a team with a winning record0-5 SU in the last five games when playing on the road against Baltimore


9-4 ATS in the last 13 vs. a team with a winning record13-5 ATS in their last 18 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game13-6 ATS in their last 19 games against an opponent from the AFC

Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens Pick  

The Ravens are traditionally a tough opponent to beat when they are underdogs at home; they are 15-3-1 ATS in the last 19 games in such situations. Buffalo perhaps has a better team on paper, but the Ravens can hurt them from both the ground and air as Lamar Jackson has been playing brilliantly so far. 

The Bills’ defense allowed the league-low 214.0 yards per game but will face the hardest task of the season against the best offense in the NFL that averages 33.0 ppg. It’s likely going to be a one-possession game and a close encounter that could go either way, but I am leaning toward the hosts.

Pick: Take the Ravens at +3.5 (-120)

The Total

Baltimore’s defense is not as strong as it was in recent years and is allowing 25.7 ppg and a whopping 353.3 passing yards to the opposing quarterbacks. That’s the league-worst, and considering the Bills have the No. 1 pass offense that averages 329.0 yards per contest, we can only assume that Josh Allen and his receivers are going to feast here. The total has gone Over in 13 of Buffalo’s last 20 games on the road, while the total went Over in four of Baltimore’s previous six games against the AFC rivals.

Pick: Go Over 50.5 points (-125)

Author: Nathan Rogers